10 August 2015

Financial Crisis:

The Reason:

  • Insufficient Revenue generated by Tax and PSU's was not able cover up government expense .
  • Heavy Spending on Development Projects, Defense sectors etc.. with not immediate Revenues.
  • Foreign Exchange borrowed was spent on meeting consumption needs.
  • No attempts were made to reduce these profligate expenses
  • We did not focus on boosting Exports to meets the Trade Deficit due to growing imports.
  • Needed foreign Exchange to import petroleum and other products.

The Crisis:

  • Expense was more than Income so, Govt. borrowed from bank and Fin. Institutions to finance the Deficit.
  • Meeting the expenditure by borrowing became unsustainable.
  • Prices of Essential Goods rose sharply.
  • Foreign exchange levels declined so much that, imports could not be financed for more than two weeks.
  • No foreign exchange to pay the interest to international lenders, also no country/funder was willing to lend to India
  • India approached IBRD (International Bank on Reconstruction and development) popularly known as World Bank, and we also approached IMF.

The Loan:

  • Received 7 Billion US Dollars.
  • India was expected to open up the economy
  • Remove trade restrictions
  • Remove restrictions on pvt. Sectors and reduce govt. role
  • India Agreed and announced the New Economic Policy(NEP).

NEP:

Liberalization:

  1. Deregulation Industrial Sector:
    • Licensing has been abolished for almost all but product categories - alcohol, cigarette, aerospace etc.(Check these)
    • Only few Industries reserved for public sector are-- Defense, Atomic Energy, Railway transport(Check these)
    • Many goods for small scale Industries have been de-reserved
      1. Financial Sector Reforms:
        • Reduce the role of RBI from a Regulator to Facilitator.
        • Establishment of private and Foreign Banks .
        • Banks which fulfill certain criteria can setup branches without RBI approval
        • FII's now allowed to invest in Indian Markets
  1. Tax Reforms:
    • Moderate Tax rate for Income and corporate taxes, to Encourage Savings and avoid Tax Evasion.
    • Reforms in Indirect taxes
    • Simplification in overall tax structure for better compliance
      1. Foreign Exchange Reforms:
  • Rupee Devaluation led to an increase in inflow of Foreign Exchange.
  • Rupee value determination was also set out of control of government, to be determined by Market forces.

 

      1. Trade and Investment Policy Reforms:
  • Dismantling of quantitative restriction on Import and Export.
    1. Complete removal of quantitative restriction on Manufactured Consumer goods and Agri. Goods(from April 2001)
  • Reduction of Tariff rates and removal of Export Duties
  1. Abolition of Import licensing with exceptions on Hazardous substances.
    1. Privatization:
  • Through Withdrawal of govt. from the ownership of some PSU's
  • Through Outright sale.
  • Through Disinvestment
  • This was done to facilitate Modernization, and encourage FDI.
    1. Globalization:
  • Outcome of a set of policies that are aimed at transforming the World towards greater Interdependence and Integration.
  • Involves creation of a network of activities transcending social, Economic, and geographical barrier.
    1. Outsourcing:
  • A Company hires Regular source from external sources, which was previously provided internally
  • Intensified in recent times due to growth of IT
  1. Developed countries are outsourcing services to Developing countries like India. (Due to Cheap rates & reasonable accuracy).
    1. WTO:
  • It is a Successor of GATT(General agreement on Trade Tariff)[23 countries].
  • Administers Multilateral/Bilateral Trade Agreements, by providing equal opportunities to all parties in international market
  • Expected to establish a Rule Based Trading Regime, So no country can place Arbitrary trade Restrictions.
  • Facilitate international trade through removal of Tariff/non-tariff barriers.
  • India has been in the forefront for advocating interest of Developing countries through
  • Questions on India being a member of WTO, coz international trade occurs b/w developed nation and developing countries cheated to open their markets in return no access to developed country markets.

Indian Economy During Reforms

  • Steady increase in GDP numbers(5.6----8.2…...)
  • Sector Outlook
    Agriculture Decline
    Industry Fluctuations
    Service Gone UP
  • India is the is the Largest foreign Exchange holder in the World(2015 current year).
  • Criticism that the Reforms not been able to address basic issues of our Economy(Employment….nd all!!)
  • Reforms in Agriculture:
    • Reforms have not benefitted as growth rate is declining
    • Public Investment(esp. in agri. Infra.) has fallen during reform period.
    • Removal of Fertilizer Subsidy , Min. Support Prices affected the marginal farmer
    • Reduction in Import restrictions & tariffs.
    • Export oriented Policy==>Focus on Export market==>Grow more Cash Crops==>Inflation on Food Grain prices.
  • Reforms in Industry:
    • Industry Growth has recorded a Slow Down.
    • Reason being less demand for domestic products(open Economy==>Cheaper Imports).
    • Globalization creates condition for free movement of Goods and Services that adversely affect the local Industry, and Employment opportunity in developing countries.
    • Also we do not have access to developed countries markets(USA has not removed Quota restrictions on their import of Textile from India and China).
  • Disinvestment:
    • Every Year Govt. sets target for selling PSE's
    • Debate that the PSE assets are Undervalued and sold to pvt. Sector.(incurring substantial loss)
    • Proceeds of selling are used to offset the govt. revenues rather using for Development.
  • Reforms in Fiscal Policy:
    • Reforms have placed a limit on growth of Expenditure in social sector.
    • Reduction in tax-rates not successful in increasing revenue/curbing Evasion.
    • Tax Incentives to FII has a negative Impact.


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